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Angels blog ~ The latest on the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, by the Orange County Register Sports staff

December 1st, 2008, 1:54 pm · Post a Comment · posted by Sam Miller, The Orange County Register

Ben Reiter has a piece in Sports Illustrated that asks whether C.C. Sabathia is too fat to be a good long-term bet. He asks six experts who conclude that, no, his odds of staying healthy aren’t any worse than a smaller pitcher. Writes Reiter:

“In layman’s terms, one can effectively be both a pitcher and a belly-itcher.”

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Angels 2009 projections

Player	Projection
Mike Napoli	.246/.351/.481
Jeff Mathis	.222/.288/.364
Kendry Morales	.274/.317/.430
Howie Kendrick	.304/.335/.440
Erick Aybar	.268/.309/.369
Chone Figgins	.278/.354/.367
Brandon Wood	.237/.295/.424
Maicer Izturis	.273/.343/.383
Juan Rivera	.273/.321/.453
Bobby Abreu	.282/.376/.440
Torii Hunter	.273/.331/.462
Vladimir Guerrero	.306/.369/.513
Gary Matthews, Jr	.260/.331/.402
Ervin Santana	3.87 ERA
John Lackey	3.82 ERA
Kelvim Escobar	3.93 ERA
Jered Weaver	3.94 ERA
Joe Saunders	4.24 ERA
Dustin Moseley	5.34 ERA
Brian Fuentes	3.33 ERA
Scot Shields	3.67 ERA
Jose Arredondo	3.75 ERA
Darren Oliver	4.01 ERA
Justin Speier	4.23 ERA
Kevin Jepsen	5.05 ERA

(These projections are an average of six common statistical forecasting systems. They are based on the players' previous performances, ages and, in some cases, physical characteristics.)