Playoff odds, 6/6

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Angels blog ~ The latest on the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, by the Orange County Register Sports staff

June 6th, 2009, 7:22 am · 2 Comments · posted by Sam Miller, The Orange County Register

The Angels’ second three-game winning streak of the year lifts them by 7.5 percent.

To win the West: 32 percent

To win the Wild Card: 4 percent

To make the playoffs: 36 percent

(Based on one million simulations of the season from here on out.)

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2 Comments

Bharv says:

June 6, 2009 at 9:24 am

To help put things in perspective…what are the chances in these categories for the Rangers?

Post Reply
Dave says:

June 6, 2009 at 10:49 am

Checkout the link.

Division: 56.4%
Wild Card: 3.5%
Playoffs: 59.9%

Note: Dodgers are already 96% probability of reaching the playoffs.

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Angels 2009 projections

Player	Projection
Mike Napoli	.246/.351/.481
Jeff Mathis	.222/.288/.364
Kendry Morales	.274/.317/.430
Howie Kendrick	.304/.335/.440
Erick Aybar	.268/.309/.369
Chone Figgins	.278/.354/.367
Brandon Wood	.237/.295/.424
Maicer Izturis	.273/.343/.383
Juan Rivera	.273/.321/.453
Bobby Abreu	.282/.376/.440
Torii Hunter	.273/.331/.462
Vladimir Guerrero	.306/.369/.513
Gary Matthews, Jr	.260/.331/.402
Ervin Santana	3.87 ERA
John Lackey	3.82 ERA
Kelvim Escobar	3.93 ERA
Jered Weaver	3.94 ERA
Joe Saunders	4.24 ERA
Dustin Moseley	5.34 ERA
Brian Fuentes	3.33 ERA
Scot Shields	3.67 ERA
Jose Arredondo	3.75 ERA
Darren Oliver	4.01 ERA
Justin Speier	4.23 ERA
Kevin Jepsen	5.05 ERA

(These projections are an average of six common statistical forecasting systems. They are based on the players' previous performances, ages and, in some cases, physical characteristics.)